Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006293 0.007314 0.008517 0.010060 0.012014 0.014446 0.017768
2025-04-13 0.005002 0.006253 0.007894 0.010270 0.013749 0.018882 0.027520
2025-04-20 0.004391 0.005774 0.007726 0.010825 0.015921 0.024633 0.042554
2025-04-27 0.003933 0.005369 0.007517 0.011183 0.017828 0.030793 0.063352
2025-05-04 0.003517 0.004938 0.007157 0.011166 0.019034 0.036252 0.088586
2025-05-11 0.003192 0.004588 0.006848 0.011138 0.020184 0.042262 0.124214
2025-05-18 0.002889 0.004228 0.006458 0.010860 0.020703 0.047099 0.165539
2025-05-25 0.002603 0.003860 0.005998 0.010346 0.020520 0.049956 0.206060
2025-06-01 0.002383 0.003577 0.005650 0.009988 0.020604 0.053790 0.265740
2025-06-08 0.002267 0.003460 0.005586 0.010208 0.022241 0.064326 0.428258
2025-06-15 0.002126 0.003284 0.005388 0.010096 0.022948 0.072153 0.635986
2025-06-22 0.001961 0.003050 0.005053 0.009612 0.022428 0.074410 0.803194
2025-06-29 0.001826 0.002873 0.004832 0.009416 0.022930 0.083321 1.333386
2025-07-06 0.001743 0.002782 0.004776 0.009620 0.024873 0.103546 3.539611
2025-07-13 0.001695 0.002751 0.004835 0.010128 0.028195 0.140852 25.790067
2025-07-20 0.001635 0.002691 0.004825 0.010455 0.031103 0.186008 26837.435582
2025-07-27 0.001555 0.002585 0.004701 0.010439 0.032641 0.225976 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001482 0.002486 0.004582 0.010414 0.034176 0.275766 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001401 0.002365 0.004399 0.010160 0.034515 0.313056 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001313 0.002224 0.004158 0.009691 0.033563 0.325984 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001241 0.002112 0.003973 0.009363 0.033244 0.353665 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001206 0.002072 0.003955 0.009564 0.035978 0.481113 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001157 0.001999 0.003849 0.009462 0.036944 0.580740 NaN